The challenge to American Jewry By Sergio Della Pergola Ha'aretz October 13, 2002 The Jewish population of the United States currently stands at 5.2 million - down from 5.5 million in 1990 - according to the estimate of the 2000-2001 National Jewish Population Survey, sponsored by the United Jewish Communities, an international social service federation based in New York. However, hundreds of thousands of immigrants entered the United States in the 1990s, a development that should have driven up the number of Jews there to 5.7 million. What happened to the missing 500,000 Jews? Did the major research project, which cost some $6 million, fail in its efforts to find them? True, it is very difficult to survey a population that is scattered and integrated into the general public, as is the case with the majority of American Jews. Still, a prodigious effort went into the new survey: about 5.5 million attempted phone calls led to conversations with a representative sample of 180,000 respondents throughout the United States, and of these, 4,500 in-depth interviews were conducted, which included more than 300 questions, with Jewish families or families with a Jewish background of some kind. The survey defined various circles of Jewish identity: a consolidated core of 3.9 million, who consider Judaism their religion in differing degrees of tenacity or knowledge, and another 1.3 million Jews without religious attachment, who consider themselves connected to Jewish identity in different ways. There are another 1.5 million family members of Jewish origin, who do not view themselves as Jews, and another 1.4 million family relatives without any Jewish background of any kind. In practice, then, the 5.2 million people are part of a public of 8.1 million people who live in households with some sort of attachment to Judaism. The number of Jews in the United States declined in the past decade, whereas the country's population increased by 33 million, with the result that the proportion of Jews and their public weight decreased. This constitutes a genuine demographic problem. The main reason for the new findings has to do with the erosion of the young generation, in two senses. One is that the majority of the women aged 30 to 35, and the overwhelming majority of younger women, have no children. The low fertility rate, which has been ongoing for the past 20 years, is insufficient to produce a succeeding generation for today's adults. And when young people are few in number, the community ages and a deficit is generated. The second problem involves the desire to belong. A not insignificant number of people, who in 1990 were in some way identified as Jews, "disappeared" in 2000. Most of them are probably living with non-Jewish partners. Their spiritual and intellectual world lies elsewhere. When a person gives a negative reply to the question of whether he considers himself a Jew, in terms of Jewish collective usefulness, at least in the American context, he no longer exists. Confronted by these two processes, American Jewry faces a serious dilemma. One challenge is how to persuade those who wish to be part of the Jewish way of life that a cultural collectivity cannot exist in the long term without primary biological foundations of family and children. The second challenge is how to penetrate the margins of those who can't be bothered or who don't want to belong in order to confront them with a renewed spark of historical memory and mutual responsibility. In the absence of success in these two missions, the Jewish community in the United States will still continue to be large and influential for many years to come; however, its reduced weight in the majority society and its intensified aging will have a deep adverse effect on its ability to protect its self-interests in the 21st century and to assist other Jewish communities, as it did with great success in the 20th century. Nevertheless, there is another side to the overall quite gloomy findings of the new survey. If the Jews of the United States are a smaller community than what had been thought, this means that less time will go by before the Jewish population of Israel exceeds that of America. From the point of view of concern about the centrality of Israel on the world Jewish map, this can be reason for satisfaction. However, it would be preferable if the Israeli society were to flourish thanks to its own power of attraction and not because of the existential weakness of Diaspora Jewry. ---------- Professor Della Pergola, of the Institute of Contemporary Jewry at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, is currently at the Oxford Centre for Hebrew and Jewish Studies.